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Name and Surname Marco Zaffalon

Position
Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence, professore

Email marco.zaffalon@supsi.ch

Website http://www.idsia.ch/~zaffalon

Office
Galleria 1 - 226

Via Cantonale, 6928 Manno

Education and training MSc degree cum laude in Computer Science. PhD degree in Applied Mathematics.

Work experience Before his PhD he had been working for two years as a software engineer for a main italian insurance group. During his PhD he was a consultant for SGS-Thomson in Milan. In 1997 he was hired as a post-doctoral fellow at Dalle Molle Institute for Artificial Intelligence (IDSIA). In 2001 he got a tenure position as a researcher. He became a SUPSI Professor in 2009 and Scientific Director of IDSIA in 2019. He has founded and leads a group made of 30 full-time researchers about probabilistic machine learning.

Skills Data mining, knowledge-based systems, uncertain reasoning, foundations and applications of probability, and in particular imprecise probability, probabilistic-graphical models; applications to defense, environment, medicine, engineering, business.

Awards Marco Zaffalon has authored 140 peer-reviewed publications. He has been the President of Society for Imprecise Probabilities. He is Senior Area Editor for International Journal of Approximate Reasoning. He has been granted over 12 millions of francs for research from competitive funds.

Article in conference proceedings 17 Elements

Corani, G., Azzimonti, D., Augusto, J.& Zaffalon, M. (2020) Probabilistic reconciliation of hierarchical forecast via Bayes’ rule. » more details Azzimonti, L., Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2017) Hierarchical Multinomial-Dirichlet Model for the Estimation of Conditional Probability Tables., pp.739-744. » more details Benavoli, A., Facchini, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2016) Quantum rational preferences and desirability. In JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings 58. » more details Mangili, F., Bonesana, C., Antonucci, A., Zaffalon, M., Rubegni, E.& Addimando, L. (2016) Adaptive testing by Bayesian networks with application to language assessment. In Proceedings, pp.471-472. » more details Mangili, F., Bonesana, C., Antonucci, A., Zaffalon, M., Rubegni, E.& Addimando, L. (2016) Adaptive Testing by Bayesian Networks with Application to Language Assessment.. » more details Mangili, F., Bonesana, C., Antonucci, A., Zaffalon, M., Rubegni, E.& Addimando, L. (2016) Adaptive Testing by Bayesian Networks with Application to Language Assessment.. In Abstract Book. » more details Scanagatta, M., Corani, G., De Campos, C.& Zaffalon, M. (2016) Learning treewidth-bounded bayesian networks with thousands of variables. » more details Benavoli, A., Corani, G., Mangili, F.& Zaffalon, M. (2015) Bayesian nonparametric procedure for comparing algorithms, A. In Proceedings of the 32th International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2015), pp.1264-1272. » more details Corani, G., Benavoli, A., Mangili, F.& Zaffalon, M. (2015) Bayesian hypothesis testing in machine learning. In Proc. ECML PKDD 2015 (European Conference on Machine Learning and Principles and Practice of Knowledge Discovery in Databases), pp.199-202. » more details Scanagatta, M., De Campos, C., Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2015) Learning Bayesian networks with thousands of variables. » more details De Campos, C., Cuccu, M., Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2014) Extended tree augmented naive classifier. In PGM'14: Proceedings of the Seventh European Workshop on Probabilistic Graphical Models. Springer. » more details Antonucci, A., De Campos, C., Huber, D.& Zaffalon, M. (2013) Approximating credal network inferences by linear programming., pp.13-25. Springer. » more details Antonucci, A., Huber, D., Zaffalon, M., Luginbühl, P., Chapman, I.& Ladouceur, R. (2013) CREDO: a Military Decision-Support System based on Credal Networks. In Proceedings of the 16th Conference on Information Fusion (FUSION 2013), pp.1942-1949. » more details Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2009) Lazy naive credal classifier., pp.30-37. ACM. » more details Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2008) Credal model averaging: an extension of Bayesian model averaging to imprecise probabilities. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, pp.257-271. Springer, Berlin / Heidelberg. » more details Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2008) Naive credal classifier 2: an extension of naive Bayes for delivering robust classifications., pp.84-90. Worldcomp. » more details Corani, G., Edgar, C., Marshall, I., Wesnes, K.& Zaffalon, M. (2006) Classification of dementia types from cognitive profiles data. In Knowledge Discovery in Databases: PKDD 2006, pp.470-477. Springer. » more details

Corani, G., Abellán, J., Masegosa, A., Moral, S.& Zaffalon, M. 2014. Classification. In *Introduction to Imprecise Probabilities*, Augustin Thomas ,Coolen Frank ,De Cooman Gert ,Troffaes Mattias , pp.261-285. Wiley. » more details
Miranda, E.& Zaffalon, M. 2013. Computing the conglomerable natural extension. In *Proceedings of the Eighth International Symposium on Imprecise Probability: Theories and Applications (ISIPTA '13)*, Cozman Fabio ,Denoeux Thierry ,Destercke Sebastien ,Seidenfeld Teddy , pp.255-264. SIPTA. » more details
Miranda, E.& Zaffalon, M. 2013. Conglomerable coherent lower previsions. In *Synergies of Soft Computing and Statistics for Intelligent Data Analysis*, Kruse Rudolf ,Berthold Michael R. ,Moewes Christian ,Gil María Ángeles ,Grzegorzewski Przemysław ,Hryniewicz Olgierd , Advances in Intelligent and Soft Computing, vol. 190, pp.419-427. Springer. » more details
Corani, G., Antonucci, A.& Zaffalon, M. 2012. Bayesian networks with imprecise probabilities: theory and application to classification. In *Data Mining: Foundations and Intelligent Paradigms*, Intelligent Systems Reference Library, vol. 23, pp.49-93. Springer, Berlin / Heidelberg. » more details
Corani, G., Rizzoli, A., Salvetti, A.& Zaffalon, M. 2009. Reproducing human decisions in reservoir management: the case of lake lugano. In *Information Technologies in Environmental Engineering*, pp.252-263. Springer, Berlin / Heidelberg. » more details

Corani, G., Benavoli, A., Demšar, J., Mangili, F.& Zaffalon, M. (2016) *Statistical comparison of classiﬁers through Bayesian
hierarchical modelling*. IDSIA. » more details
Antonucci, A., De Campos, C.& Zaffalon, M. (2014) *Probabilistic Graphical Models*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M., Corani, G.& Deratani Maua, D. (2012) *Evaluating credal classifiers by utility-discounted predictive accuracy*. IDSIA. » more details
Antonucci, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2009) *Fast Algorithms for robust classification with Bayesian Nets.*. IDSIA. » more details
Benavoli, A., Zaffalon, M.& Miranda, E. (2009) *Robust filtering through coherent lower previsions*. IDSIA. » more details
Gert, D., Filip, H., Antonucci, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2009) *Epistemic irrelevance in credal networks: the case of imprecise Markov trees*. IDSIA. » more details
Piatti, A., Zaffalon, M., Trojani, F.& Hutter, M. (2009) *Limits of Learning about a Categorical Latent Variable under Prior Near-Ignorance*. IDSIA. » more details
Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2007) *JNCC2: the Java implementation of the Naive Credal Classifier2*. IDSIA. » more details
Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2007) *Naive Credal Classifier 2: a robust approach to classification for small and incomplete data sets*. IDSIA. » more details
Piatti, A., Zaffalon, M., Trojani, F.& Hutter, M. (2007) *Learning about a Categorical Latent Variable under Prior Near-Ignorance*. IDSIA. » more details
Antonucci, A., Salvetti, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2004) *Hazard Assessment of Debris Flows by Credal Networks.*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (2004) *Statistical classification with incomplete observations.*. IDSIA. » more details
De Cooman, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2003) *Updating probabilities with incomplete observations.*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M.& Hutter, M. (2003) *Robust inference of trees. *. IDSIA. » more details
Hutter, M.& Zaffalon, M. (2002) *Distribution of Mutual Information from Complete and Incomplete Data.*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M.& Hutter, M. (2002) *Robust Feature Selection by Mutual Information Distributions.*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M., Wesnes, M.& Keith, P. (2002) *Reliable diagnoses of dementia by the naive credal classifier inferred from incomplete cognitive data.*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (2001) *Robust discovery of tree-dependency structures *. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M., Wesnes, K.& Petrini, O. (2001) *Credal classification for dementia screening*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (2000) *Statistical inference of the naive credal classifier*. IDSIA. » more details
Fagiuoli, E.& Zaffalon, M. (1999) *Tree-Augmented Naive Credal Classifiers
*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (1999) *Credal Networks Classification *. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (1999) *Efficient Test of Credal Dominance for the Naive Credal Classifier Defined with Interval Probabilities., An*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (1999) *Exact Credal Treatment of Missing Data, with an Application to Classification *. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M. (1999) *Fast Computation of the Confidence for the Naive Credal Classifier Defined with Interval Probabilities*. IDSIA. » more details
Zaffalon, M., Gambardella, L.& Taillard, E. (1999) *Network Design Approach to the Allocation of Resources in an Intermodal Terminal , A*. IDSIA. » more details
Fagiuoli, E.& Zaffalon, M. (1998) *Note about Redundancy in Influence Diagrams
, A*. IDSIA. » more details
Gambardella, L., Rizzoli, A.& Zaffalon, M. (1998) *Simulation and planning of an intermodal container terminal
*. IDSIA. » more details
Gambardella, L., Rizzoli, A.& Zaffalon, M. (1998) *Simulation and planning of an intermodal container terminal*. Scuola Universitaria professionale della Svizzera italiana. » more details
Gambardella, L.& Zaffalon, M. (1998) *Optimization of Resources in an Intermodal Terminal *. IDSIA. » more details

Scientific journal article 19 Elements

Azzimonti, L., Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2019) Hierarchical estimation of parameters in Bayesian networks. *Computational Statistics and Data Analysis*, vol. 137 pp.67-91. » more details
de Campos, C., Scanagatta, M., Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2018) Entropy-based pruning for learning Bayesian networks using BIC. *Artificial Intelligence*, vol. 260 pp.42-50. » more details
Scanagatta, M., Corani, G., De Campos, C.& Zaffalon, M. (2018) Approximate structure learning for large Bayesian networks. *Machine Learning*. » more details
Scanagatta, M., Corani, G., Zaffalon, M., Yoo, J.& Kang, U. (2018) Efficient learning of bounded-treewidth Bayesian networks from complete and incomplete data sets. *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning*, vol. 95 pp.152-166. » more details
Benavoli, A., Corani, G., Demšar, J.& Zaffalon, M. (2017) Time for a change: a tutorial for comparing multiple classifiers through Bayesian analysis. *Journal of Machine Learning Research*, vol. 18 (77) pp.1-36. » more details
Corani, G., Benavoli, A., Demšar, J., Mangili, F.& Zaffalon, M. (2017) Statistical comparison of classifiers through Bayesian hierarchical modelling. *Machine Learning*. » more details
Benavoli, A., Facchini, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2016) Quantum mechanics: The Bayesian theory generalized to the space of Hermitian matrices. *Physical Review A*, vol. 95 (042106). » more details
Antonucci, A., De Campos, C., Huber, D.& Zaffalon, M. (2015) Approximate credal network updating by linear programming with applications to decision making. *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning*, vol. 58 pp.25-38. » more details
De Campos, C., Corani, G., Scanagatta, M., Cuccu, M.& Zaffalon, M. (2015) Learning extended tree augmented naive structures. *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning.*. » more details
Zaffalon, M.& Corani, G. (2014) Comments on “Imprecise probability models for learning multinomial distributions from data. Applications to learning credal networks” by Andrés R. Masegosa and Serafín Moral. *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning*, vol. 55 (7) pp.1597-1600. » more details
Benavoli, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2013) Density-ratio robustness in dynamic state estimation . *Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing *, vol. 37 (1–2) pp.54-75. » more details
Mauá, D., De Campos, C.& Zaffalon, M. (2013) On the complexity of solving polytree-shaped limited memory influence diagrams with binary variables . *Artificial Intelligence*, vol. 205 pp.30-38. » more details
Miranda, E.& Zaffalon, M. (2013) Conglomerable coherence. *International Journal of Approximate Reasoning*, vol. 54 (9) pp.1322-1350. » more details
Zaffalon, M.& Miranda, E. (2013) Probability and time. *Artificial Intelligence*, vol. 198 pp.1-51. » more details
Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2008) JNCC2: an extension of naive Bayes classifier suited for small and incomplete data sets. *Environmental Modelling & Software*, vol. 23 (7) pp.960-961. » more details
Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2008) JNCC2: the Java implementation of naive credal classifier 2. *Journal of Machine Learning Research*, vol. 9 pp.2695-2698. » more details
Corani, G.& Zaffalon, M. (2008) Learning reliable classifiers from small or incomplete data sets: the naive credal classifier 2. *Journal of Machine Learning Research*, vol. 9 pp.581-621. » more details
Gambardella, L., Mastrolilli, P., Rizzoli, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2002) Managing resource allocation, scheduling and simulation for an intermodal container terminal. *JORBEL (Journal of the Belgian Operations Research Society)*, vol. 40 (3--4) pp.195-209. » more details
Gambardella, L., Mastrolilli, P., Rizzoli, A.& Zaffalon, M. (2001) optimization methodology for intermodal terminal management, An. *Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing*, vol. 12 (5-6) pp.521-534. » more details

In charge of the following projects

Statistical learning and inference on big data with probabilistic graphical models » more details Robust structure learning of bayesian networks » more details Utool : a System for evaluation of usecured credits » more details Learning under near-Ignorance: models and methods » more details Credal networks made easy » more details Advancement of credal model averaging for classification » more details Sviluppo di nuovi algoritmi per l?identificazione di modelli prognostici in pazienti affetti da linf » more details Computational Identification of Pathways and Genes Involved in Lymphoid Tumors: From DNA Copy Number » more details Ignorance, caution, and the naive credal classifier » more details knowledge-Based Decision Support: netzwerke und Imprecise Probability » more details Computational Identification of Pathways and Genes Involved in Lymphoid Tumors Starting from DNA Cop » more details Unifying graphical Models by credal Networks: Algorithms ... » more details Identifizierung von unbekannten Objekten mittels kredaler Klassifizierung » more details Model averaging methodologies for credible classification » more details Statistical learning from imperfect observations under prior ignorance » more details Classification of cognitive profiles » more details Uncertain Reasoning Under incompleteness » more details Investigations on the theory and practice of credal classification » more details

Member of the following projects

Advanced Data Methods for Improved Tiltrotor Test and Design » more details OmniProfiler » more details Multi Model Inference For dealing with Uncertainty in Environ... » more details Stagend.com: un social network che mette in relazione gli attori della scena musicale indipendente ( » more details Intelligent INvitro INcubator » more details Credal Model Averaging For dealing with Uncertainty in Environmental Modelling » more details Modeling and Numerical Simulation of Carbon Fullerenes and Nanotubes and their Composites - New Team » more details